St. Pauli hosts Heidenheim in round 28 of German Bundesliga 2. The match will be played on Wednesday, May 27th at Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg)
In the last round, the Corsairs received a significant slap in the face from Darmstadt - the team from Hamburg lost to the Lilies away (0-4), which will surely force the team to make serious gap analysis. The home match with Heidenheim is a great chance to make up for the last failure because St. Pauli shows a great game on its pitch - the team lost only three times in 13 home matches. St. Pauli lost to Heidenheim in the first leg, having a tangible gaming advantage. It’s clear that the hosts do not want to lose to Heidenheim for the second time, all the more so Schmidt’s men play in the Millerntor arena very unsuccessfully – if we look at the last four games on St. Pauli’s field, three home victories and one draw were recorded. It seems to me that the Corsairs again have every chance of local success, and the coefficients allow us to play it safe.
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Heidenheim is a fighter for a place in the top three – currently, today's visitors are in third place, lagging behind third Stuttgart and leading Arminia by one point and six points, respectively. It’s clear that Schmidt’s team needs to earn points in each match, but the away statistics are not impressive - Heidenheim could win only four out of 13 away games. The team held two matches after the break (away and at home). I cannot but note the fact that Heidenheim lost to rather mediocre Bochum on the road (0-3). I think the upcoming match will be quite difficult for the visitors.
In my opinion, it is worth using the underestimation of St. Pauli. After the restart, the Corsairs play with an efficiency of 50%, but now they have a real chance to cling to points because Heidenheim acts very weakly away. I bet that St. Pauli will not lose in regulation time!
Prediction for the match: St. Pauli to win with +0.5 handicap
