St. Patrick’s take on the visitors UC Dublin in the round 22 match of Irish Premier Division. The match will be played on Friday, June 30th at Richmond Park (Dublin).
In matches against UC Dublin in the current season of the Irish championship, the odds are always very low for the opponents. And now, bookmakers have no doubts about the confident victory of "The Saints" over the main underdog of the league. I won't argue with that; the hosts should comfortably take three points. However, it is not guaranteed that the favorite's victory will be by a large margin. Saint Patrick's Athletic has rarely been dominating their opponents in the championship recently. It has only happened twice in their last ten matches. In their three most recent league games, "The Saints" managed to secure only one victory, narrowly defeating Shelbourne with a score of 1-0. They also had a draw against Dundalk (1-1) and a loss to Drogheda United (1-2).
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UC Dublin is a yo-yo team in Ireland, constantly moving between the top and second division. In the current season, nothing has changed, as this team has long settled at the bottom of the table and is unlikely to even move up to the second-to-last position. However, the capital team continues to fight and does not give up. For example, in the previous round of the championship, they managed to sensationally defeat Sligo Rovers. UC Dublin was losing 0-1 after the first half but eventually won 2-1. Not long ago (at the beginning of June), the team also faced Saint Patrick's Athletic. As expected, they lost but not by a large margin (1-3).
Moreover, looking at the head-to-head meetings between these opponents, in the last five encounters, "The Saints" have won all five matches, but only once did they manage to demolish their opponent (3-0). The results of the other matches were 3-1, 2-1, 2-1, 2-1. Currently, the form of Saint Patrick's players is far from ideal, and the battle for medals is still ahead for the team. Therefore, it is much more important for the hosts to secure three points comfortably and save energy for the remainder of the season rather than recklessly pursue a high goal difference. My choice is a handicap (+2.5) in favor of the away team. I also believe that UC Dublin can score a goal with odds higher than 2.0 since they have been able to score against this opponent in their previous encounters. However, this bet is slightly riskier. I will stick to the positive handicap for the underdog.
Prediction for the match: UC Dublin to win with +2.5 handicap.