Spain take on the visitors Georgia in the round 10 match of group stage of UEFA Euro-2024 qualification. The match will be played on Sunday, November 19th at Estadio José Zorrilla (Valladolid).
Spain is objectively the strongest team in the group and is likely to secure the top spot in the table. "La Roja" has already qualified for Euro 2024 in advance. They had a setback in one of the seven rounds, losing to Scotland, hinting at some intrigue. However, they followed that with six consecutive victories, with a total score of 19-2. In all home matches, the Spanish team dominated their opponents by a margin of at least 2-3 goals: against Norway (3-0), Scotland (2-0), and Cyprus (6-0). They also defeated Cyprus (3-1) and Georgia (7-1) away. I believe that in the upcoming match, Luis de la Fuente Castillo's team will, at least, cover the handicap (-2).
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As for Georgia, at times, the team showed good football in the current Euro qualifying cycle and performed at its level in the qualification. They gained six points in two matches against Cyprus and did not lose at home to Norway (1-1) or Scotland (0-2). However, on the road, they suffered a 1-2 defeat against the Netherlands and a 0-2 loss to Scotland and faced a significant defeat against Spain. The "Crusaders" couldn't resist the "La Roja," even on their home turf. In the first half, Spain scored four goals, eventually winning 7-1.
Despite the respect for Georgia, it will be incredibly challenging for their players to compete against Spain on foreign soil. A rout seems likely, given the significant difference in class between the teams. "La Roja" demonstrated this vividly in the first match between these teams, crushing their opponents in Tbilisi (7-1). Of course, a repeat of such a scoreline is not expected, as Spain has officially qualified for Euro and lacks tournament motivation. However, even considering this, in my opinion, the favorite should prevail over the guests from Georgia with a margin of at least 2-3 goals. I would lean towards the home team covering the handicap (-2), with a return at worst.
Prediction for the match: Spain to win with -2.0 handicap.