Slovakia take on the visitors Luxemburg in the round 1 match of UEFA Euro 2024 qualification. The match will be played on Thursday, February 23rd at City Arena Trnava (Trnava).
The Slovakian national team has greatly deteriorated in recent years, and they are not succeeding at all, with their level dropping lower and lower. The upcoming group looks quite promising for the Slovaks to qualify for the European Championship. Along with Luxembourg, there are also Iceland, Bosnia, Liechtenstein, and Portugal. It is possible for them to take second place in such a group. However, even in this company, it will be very difficult for the Slovaks to contend for a top-2 spot since they are currently struggling even in matches against the easiest opponents, and there are clearly problems with their attacking game. They have scored a maximum of a couple of goals against opponents per match in recent times, and even then, it rarely happens, with Slovakians often remaining goalless. Therefore, in the upcoming match against the tough Luxembourg team, it is far from guaranteed that the hosts will succeed.
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Luxembourg are becoming a full-fledged average team on the continent, and it is hard to call them a "statistician" of qualifying cycles anymore. It is rare to see Luxembourg lose heavily these days, and if it does happen, it is usually against serious opponents. The Slovakian team is currently difficult to call a serious opponent... Luxembourg is entering this match on a series of 5 matches without defeat. As for the previous qualifying cycle for the top tournament, Luxembourg earned 9 points in 8 matches, which is not an outstanding indicator, but rather a decent average result. As for the starting qualification, I will not be surprised if Luxembourg fights seriously for second place.
Now it is safe to say that Slovakia and Luxembourg show roughly similar results in different qualifying cycles. It is controversial to place the Slovakian team as a big favorite here, considering how poorly they are doing in terms of scoring goals. Therefore, I would choose to bet on Luxembourg with a handicap (+1.5).
Prediction for the match: Luxemburg to win with +1.5 handicap.
