Shanghai Shenhua faces Beijing Guoan in round 1 of the Chinese Super League. The match will be played on Friday, April 23rd at Kunshan Stadium (Kunshan)
I do not consider Shanghai Shenhua to be the favorite of this match, even despite the factor of the nominally home field. The team is mediocre even by the standards of the Chinese Super League. Yes, last season Shanghai Shenhua managed to take fourth place in its championship group and made it to the playoffs. But in the very first stage, the team lost to Shanghai SIPG on aggregate and took only eighth place in the end.
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Against the background of such an opponent, Beijing Guoan looks like a favorite even on the road. In the previous season, the team played much better than Shanghai Shenhua and can clearly add it to their assets. The Greens took second place in the championship group, reached the playoffs, and passed two stages there. And in the matches for third place, Guoan became the bronze medalist of the league due to an away victory over the already mentioned Shanghai SIPG.
It is difficult to make predictions for the matches of the first round of any championship. The teams have not played yet, and we do not know what condition the players are in. But I'll try. It seems to me that Beijing Guoan is the clear favorite of the upcoming match. The Greens will definitely not lose and most likely will win. Compared to the hosts, Guoan showed a much better game in the last season. In the Asian Champions League group, the metropolitan team gained two away victories and calmly advanced to the knockout rounds. And it lost only to the future winner of the tournament in the quarterfinals, namely, to Ulsan from Korea. Shanghai also played in last year's Champions League but could not even progress from its group. Moreover, the team lost two out of three home matches. The statistics of head-to-head meetings are also on the side of Beijing Guoan – it won in the last three cases. Therefore, I recommend betting on the Greens’ victory with a zero handicap.
Prediction for the match: Beijing Guoan to win with 0.0 handicap
