Shanghai Port take on the visitors Tianjin Jinmen Tiger in the round 20 match of Chinese Super League. The match will be played on Thursday, August 3rd at Shanghai Stadium (Shanghai).
Shanghai achieved a crucial victory in the previous round, defeating their main pursuer in the championship race 3-0. Shanghai is currently on fire, securing one big win after another. They have won four matches before this fixture, with a total goal difference of 15-2 in this series of games. As seen in the previous round, they can defeat any team, even those in the top 3. Therefore, it is not surprising that bookmakers heavily favor the home team in this fixture, and I expect another confident victory from them. The circumstances suggest that Tianjin is struggling significantly, unable to secure wins and alternating between losses and draws. The hosts are more than capable of securing a victory by two or three goals.
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Tianjin are fighting for a top-3 position and currently holds the 4th spot. However, at this rate, the Tigers might soon drop out of the top 5. Something seems to have broken in the team, and their results have sharply declined. They have not won in the last five rounds, managing only draws at best. Clearly, Tianjin is not in the form required to compete with Shanghai. Shanghai is currently sweeping away all opposition, displaying a level of effectiveness twice as high as the second team in the league. Therefore, it seems logical to bet on a confident victory for the home team. Of course, Tianjin will strive for at least a draw in this match, but their opponent is much stronger.
The odds for a home teams’s victory are only (1.25), which is quite reasonable considering the strong form Shanghai is in. Therefore, I will settle on this betting option: Handicap (-1.5) on Shanghai. The hosts are likely to defeat their opponent by at least three goals, given the crisis in Tianjin's performance. As for Tianjin, they will probably need to face a simpler opponent to finally end their streak of uncertain results.
Prediction for the match: Shanghai Port to win with -1.5 handicap.
