Vitoria Setubal hosts Boavista in round 32 of Portuguese Primeira Liga. The match will be played on Monday, May 6th at Estádio do Bonfim (Setúbal)
Setubal performed quite well in April. Vitoria managed to score 8 points in 5 matches, while losing only to Benfica away. It was in the match with the Eagles that Setubal failed in defense and was unable to withstand the onslaught of the championship leader. In the other 4 April games, Setubal conceded just 1 goal. However, Vitoria also reliably defended in February and in March, allowing opponents to score only 5 goals in 7 games. Then again, it is worth noting that Setubal conceded 2 goals from Porto during this period. That is, in the last 3 months, Setubal’s defense faltered only in the games with championship leaders; in the other 10 matches, the team allowed only 4 goals.
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Boavista, like its current opponent, also played reliably in defense. In the last 5 games, the Panthers conceded only 4 goals, 2 of them from Porto. That is, at the finish of the season, the team managed to add in defense. However, Boavista still does not shine in the attack. Yes, it broke through in the match with Moreirense, but it happened at home; the Panthers score significantly less away. Outside their field, the team scored only 10 balls in 15 matches. So, in the last 5 away games, Boavista has scored just 2 goals against its opponents.
In the first leg match, the teams scored only 2 goals for two, so I do not expect an abundance of goals even now. In this season, more than two goals were scored in only 9 of 31 games of Setubal and Boavista. It is not surprising, given that the Panthers scored 26 goals in total; Setubal has only 1 more goal in its asset. Herewith, Vitoria also conceded only 12 goals in 15 matches. The average of scores/ conceded goals of the hosts is extremely low - only 1.8 goals per game. As for Boavista, this fixture is slightly higher due to failures in defense in the matches with the leaders, but it is only 2.1 goals per game. Therefore, under 2.5 goals scored is quite a logical choice in this meeting. Especially since Setubal scored only 3 goals in the last 5 home matches, Boavista scored only twice in a similar number of away matches.
Prediction for the match: Under 2.5 goals scored
