Sao Paulo take on the visitors Palmeiras in the quarterfinal match of Copa do Brasil. The match will be played on Thursday, June 6th at Estádio do Morumbi (Sao Paulo).
Last season, São Paulo reached the semifinals of the national cup. However, I don't think they will be able to replicate that success in this tournament as they face a tough opponent in the quarterfinals. Recently, they suffered a home defeat to Palmeiras (0-2) in a derby match. They also had an away loss to Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (0-1) in the league. Overall, São Paulo has been inconsistent throughout the season. Even in the previous stages of the cup, they struggled. They played a goalless draw at home against modest Ituano-SP and suffered a 1-3 defeat to Sport Recife, only securing a spot in the semifinals through a penalty shootout.
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Against such an unstable and unimpressive opponent, the reigning Brazilian champions, Palmeiras, are considered the favorites in this quarterfinal matchup. Palmeiras currently sits in the top four of Serie A and comfortably advanced to the knockout stage of the Copa Libertadores as group winners, winning five out of six matches. Less than a week ago, they convincingly defeated Bolivian side Bolivar (4-0). In their most recent league match, they managed to hold a draw (2-2) away against Atletico Paranaense despite playing with ten men for almost half an hour.
I believe Palmeiras will at least secure a draw in the first leg of the quarterfinals against São Paulo. They have looked more convincing throughout the season compared to São Paulo, and they haven't lost to their opponents in their last five meetings. The derby between these two teams is known as the "Royal Clash" (Choque Rei), and it is always intense and highly competitive, characterized by fierce battles, emotions, and fouls. However, goals have been scarce in their recent encounters, with none of the last five matches producing more than three goals. Over the same period, over 2.5 goals were scored only once. It's worth noting that in their three most recent head-to-head matches, São Paulo failed to score a single goal: 0-0, 0-0, 0-2. Taking everything into account, I would place a bet on X2 + Under 4.5 goals in this match. The away team should avoid defeat at the very least, and I'm hedging my bet slightly when it comes to the total goals.
Prediction for the match: Palmeiras not to lose and Under 4.5 scored goals.
