Santos take on the visitors Corinthians in the round 11 match of Brazilian Serie A. The match will be played on Thursday, June 22nd at Estadio Urbano Caldeira (Santos).
What a magnificent fixture! A true celebration for football lovers in Brazil! Two teams from the same state are facing each other, and this derby is one of the most significant clashes within the country (if not the most significant). The match will be intense! However, while the fixture is impressive, both teams have been struggling in the current season. Santos is currently positioned only 13th in the table and rarely secures victories. In the ten Serie A matches, the "fish" have managed to win only three times. Moreover, for the past four rounds, the team has been unable to secure a victory, with draws against Palmeiras (0-0), Internacional-RS (1-1), and Coritiba (0-0), as well as a defeat against RB Bragantino (0-2). There are doubts about Santos' ability to win the upcoming derby against Corinthians.
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Corinthians-SP also had a weak start to the championship and is currently placed lower than their opponent in the table, trailing by four points. They alternate between successful matches and defeats, with two losses in the last five rounds. After losing to Flamengo (0-1), the "musketeers" triumphed over Fluminense (2-0), but then suffered a defeat against Atlético Mineiro (0-2) and settled for a draw against Cuiabá (1-1). Indeed, Corinthians is having an inconsistent and somewhat disappointing season, even though they finished fourth in Serie A just a year ago, narrowly missing out on a medal. However, their upcoming opponent is also struggling and facing numerous problems while struggling to secure victories. Plus, the status of the derby makes the match even more unpredictable.
Based on everything mentioned above, it can be concluded that both teams have their chances to be considered favorites. Bookmakers slightly favor the hosts, and they have the right to do so since Corinthians has yet to earn points away from home in the new season, losing five consecutive away matches. However, sooner or later, the team should at least secure a draw on the road. I believe the "musketeers" have a chance to do that, considering that the opponent is also going through a rough patch and has a considerable winless streak. Additionally, let's not forget that this is the most significant derby in Brazil, known as "Clássico Alvinegro," "Clássico Goleada," or "Clássico Tabu" (all three names are relevant). This automatically turns the match into a three-outcome battle, regardless of other factors. Therefore, I will go with a bet on X2, covering two out of the three possible outcomes. In recent years, Santos has rarely defeated Corinthians in their head-to-head matches, with Corinthians only losing once in the last five encounters. Earlier this year, in the framework of the Campeonato Paulista Serie A1, the teams clashed on Santos' home turf, exchanging goals in each half and ultimately settling for a 2-2 draw. I believe that at the very least, the guests are capable of securing another draw.
Prediction for the match: Corinthians not to lose (X2).
