Salzburg take on the visitors Lazio at “Red Bull Arena” in the reverse fixture of the UEFA Europa League quarter-final. The match will be played in Salzburg on Thursday, April 12th.
Salzburg prefer to perform on equal or even to lead the games against the strong opponents, however, such philosophy allows their rivals to convert attacks into goals. Very often “Die Roten Bullen” dominate in the tackles conducted within the Austrian Tipico Bundesliga, nevertheless, they are not likely to rule the upcoming fight against the Italians. Still, it should be noted that the side’s offense demonstrates great football in this season. Salzburg recorded seven goals for in five battles played in the UEFA Europa League Play Offs, having left the pitch without scored goals only in the home fight against Borussia Dortmund where their main task was not to fail. As “Die Roten Bullen” were capable to score twice to Lazio at “Stadio Olimpico”, I believe that they will also manage to please their fans with scored goals in Salzburg, especially bearing in mind that the club hasn’t scored a single goal only in three home matches of this season.
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In their turn, Lazio have not scored single goal only in five battles of this season, having scored at least two times in 28 out of 47 encounters played. If exclude head-to-heads against AC Milan, Inter and Juventus from the mentioned above statistics, then the Romans’ results will become even more convincing: at least one scored goal in 42 out of 44 tackles conducted. The side stepped into a small crisis in the first half of March, but after a break for the international games, Lazio backed to the winning pace, having scored 12 goals in three latest battles. “Le Aquile” also show remarkable effectiveness in attack at away fields, having scored at least twice in 17 out of 23 away clashes. Moreover, the Romans lost only five encounters played on the road in this season and it should be admitted that among their rivals were AC Milan, AS Roma, Juventus and Zulte Waregem (when Simone Inzaghi used reserve squad). Although Lazio show astonishing football in attack, being the most scoring club of Italy, they have permanent problems with defense. “Le Aquile” deserved only 13 clean sheets in this season, the side conceded in seven out of eight recent battles played and got two goals against even from the hopeless outsider of the Serie A – Benevento.
A comfortable outcome of the first-leg head-to-head for Lazio as well as the Romans’ problems in defense assumes to announce Salzburg as the favourites of the forthcoming tackle. However, the Austrians are forced to open and score at least two goals which will lead to the mistakes in defense and create goal opportunities for the Italians. Therefore, I presume that some goals will be scored in the Thursday clash, but I do not believe in the hosts’ triumph.
Prediction for the match: Lazio to win with +0.5 Asian handicap (X2). Both teams to score.
