Real Madrid take on the visitors Almeria in the round 32 match of Spanish LaLiga. The match will be played on Saturday, April 29th at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid).
Carlo Ancelotti's team has failed in the current Spanish championship, falling behind Barcelona by 11 points in the table and potentially losing second place by the end of the season. In the previous round, the "Galacticos" lost to the unmotivated Girona (2-4) on the road. They also failed to win any big victories in their last three La Liga matches, only beating Celta and Cadiz with a score of 2-0, and losing 2-3 to Villarreal. I don't think we should expect a rout by the hosts in the upcoming match against Almeria.
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Almeria are a purely home team, so it is logical that they are a clear outsider in the upcoming game. However, let's take a look at the recent results of Ruby's team: a victory over Getafe (2-1), a draw with Celta (2-2), and defeats to Sevilla and Atletico Madrid with the same score of 1-2. In all of these matches, the handicap (+2.5) on Almeria played comfortably. At the moment, the team is only three points away from the relegation zone. Most likely, in the match against the still reigning champions of the country, the "Red and Whites" will defend as a team and are unlikely to lose by a large margin.
In this match, the "Galacticos" are clear favorites at the bookmakers, which is not surprising. However, personally, I have no confidence that even the completely unmotivated Ancelotti's team will try to crush Almeria with all their might for some reason. The championship race is almost lost, and the team should save their strength for the final of the country's cup and the Champions League semi-final against Manchester City. The guests, on the other hand, are doing their best to stay in La Liga and will cling to points even in a match against the capital team. In the first round of the current season, the favorite was able to beat the opponent only 2-1. Most likely, the Madrid team will also defeat the opponent at home, but it is unlikely to be a big win. I consider the handicap (+2.5) on Almeria to be a good bet.
Prediction for the match: Almeria to win with +2.5 handicap.