Real Esteli U20 hosts Diriangen U20 in round 17 of Nicaraguan Liga Primera U20 Clausura. The match will be played on Thursday, April 16th at Estadio Independencia (Esteli)
Real Esteli is on the second line in the standings after Managua. But the position of the hosts can hardly be called shaky, and it will be hard enough to slide into the third position since Esteli has a 6-point handicap. There are only two rounds to play, so Real has no special tournament motivation. Now it has to play against the main outsider in the person of Diriangen, but despite the low level of the opponent, the only head-to-head meeting of this season ended in the victory of Diriangen. I think that the hosts may have difficulties with achieving a positive lopsided result. On average, Esteli concedes more than a goal per home match, and I believe that unmotivated hosts won’t defeat their opponents with an indecent score.
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Diriangen is currently on the last line in the standings of Nicaragua Primera Liga U20. Of course, today's visitors do not have chances of taking a place in the top six, but the main outsider of the tournament created a lot of problems for its opponents in the last rounds - Diriangen lost in only one of the last four matches. In general, the visitors rarely lose with indecent scores - in 16 last meetings, they lost with a difference of 3+ goals only three times. It’s not bad for the main outsider, right? In my opinion, Diriangen is again underestimated. More recently, it beat Chinandega and Juventus, who were extremely motivated, and it may create a surprise once again.
It seems to me that it is worth betting on an outsider. Diriangen can bring surprises, especially in the confrontations with extremely motivated opponents. I think that Esteli will not gain victory easily - a +2.5 handicap for an outsider!
Prediction for the match: Diriangen U20 to win with +2.5 handicap
