RB Leipzig take on the visitors Werder Bremen in the round 32 match of German Bundesliga. The match will be played on Sunday, May 14th at Red Bull Arena (Leipzig).
Hardly anyone will argue with me regarding the fact that Leipzig are the clear favorite in this match. Marco Rose's team has improved recently and is currently in third place in the table. Yes, they won't be able to join the title race, but securing a place in the top 4 is a must. Union and Freiburg, who also want to play in the Champions League, are just one point behind. Leipzig cannot afford to relax. I don't think anyone doubts the victory of the Bulls. The question is, can they win by a margin of at least two goals? I believe they can, why not? It's been a while since Leipzig won a league match by more than one goal. It's time to please their fans.
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Werder Bremen's defense cannot be called reliable. In the 31st round of the Bundesliga, the team conceded 60 goals, on average allowing opponents to score almost twice per game. In their last four league matches, Bremen suffered three defeats, losing 1-2 to both Bayern Munich and Freiburg at home, and even to Schalke away. Yes, all these losses were by just one goal difference. But if we dig a little deeper, we can remember defeats to Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Dortmund (both 0-2), Cologne (1-7), and the same Bayern Munich (1-6). So, there's nothing wrong with believing in Leipzig's victory by a margin of at least two goals, given the attractive odds.
And the odds do look very appealing. It's understandable since Leipzig hasn't been winning by a margin of more than one goal recently, and when they do lose, it's by a minimal margin. But sooner or later, every streak comes to an end. And I believe that the Bulls can break this trend at home. In terms of football quality, these teams are still at different levels. In four out of the last five direct encounters, Leipzig has come out on top against this opponent. In the two most recent home matches, they won convincingly with scores of 2-0 and 3-0. My prediction is a handicap (-1.5) in favor of the hosts!
Prediction for the match: RB Leipzig to win with -1.5 handicap.
