RB Leipzig take on the visitors Bayer Leverkusen in the round 18 match of French Ligue 1. The match will be played on Saturday, January 20th at Red Bull Arena (Leipzig).
RB Leipzig are currently positioned in fourth place in the table, battling for a spot in the Champions League and medals, trailing Bayer by 12 points. However, with half the season still ahead, the three-point gap from the leader can be closed, especially by securing a victory in the upcoming home match. Such a scenario is entirely plausible. Leipzig played commendably against Bayer in Leverkusen at the start of the season, even though they lost 2-3. At home, the Bulls look much stronger in the current championship, securing six wins in nine matches. In their last five home games, representatives of Red Bull achieved four victories against Cologne, Freiburg, Heidenheim, and Hoffenheim, with an overall score of 15-3.
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Bayer are undoubtedly much stronger than the teams mentioned earlier, and currently, Leverkusen rightfully leads the Bundesliga table. However, it's challenging for the "pharmacists" to maintain such a high position until the end of the championship. The winter break might disrupt their excellent winning momentum. Such occurrences are common in top leagues, where we often witness two entirely different teams under the same name before and after the break. It's worth acknowledging that Bayer struggled against the modest Augsburg in the last league round, securing a victory only in the 94th minute (1-0). Leipzig, with the same score, lost to a stronger opponent, Eintracht, but according to xG, they outplayed their opponent even more than Bayer in their match.
In their first matches after the break in the championship, both RB Leipzig and Bayer Leverkusen played equally in terms of the quality of football. They pressured opponents throughout the match. However, Bayer was fortunate enough to secure the victory, unlike Leipzig. While the "pharmacists" continue to impress, luck may not always be on their side. The winning streak in the Bundesliga for Bayer will also not last forever. I lean towards the idea that Bayer will lose at least two points in this match, and an away defeat is not out of the question. Bayer's last visit to Leipzig ended in failure (0-2), and in the last six head-to-head matches on RB Leipzig's turf, Leverkusen managed to win only once. My prediction is a handicap (0) in favor of the hosts.
Prediction for the match: RB Leipzig to win with 0.0 handicap.