Rayo Vallecano take on the visitors Valladolid in the round 33 match of Spanish LaLiga. The match will be played on Thursday, April 4th at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas (Madrid).
Rayo Vallecano are having a successful season and is successfully achieving their minimum goal of staying in La Liga. They are far from the relegation zone, currently sitting in ninth place. They are only three points behind seventh place and could theoretically even fight for a spot in the Europa League. While their recent away performances have resulted in losses, they have been performing well at home, pleasing their fans. In their last two home matches of the championship, the "bees" defeated the strong Osasuna and leading Barcelona (both victories were 2-1).
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I think even the modest Valladolid can be beaten by the hosts. Paulo Peczzolano's team is fighting to keep their place in the league and currently sits four points away from the relegation zone. In their last away match of the championship, the "white-violets" lost to Valencia (1-2), and even at home, they suffered a crushing defeat to Atletico Madrid (2-5). Playing away is Valladolid's weak point. Therefore, I doubt that they can even secure a draw in the match against the strong Rayo.
I agree with the bookmakers and also consider the hosts as the favorites in this match. Rayo Vallecano is objectively stronger than their opponent. Out of their 11 wins in the current season, seven were achieved at home. Valladolid is one of the worst teams in La Liga when it comes to away games, having lost 11 out of 16. In the first round of the championship, the "white-violets" even lost at home to their opponents from Rayo (0-1). I think it's unlikely they will secure even a draw away. Therefore, I will take the W1 bet.
Prediction for the match: Rayo Vallecano to win.
