Racing Club take on the visitors Velez Sarsfield in the postponed round 17 match of Argentine Liga Professional. The match will be played on Sunday, June 18th at Estadio Juan Domingo Perón (Avellaneda).
After 19 rounds of the championship, Racing Avellaneda are currently in 18th place in the table with 23 points. It's not the best result. However, the team has been undefeated in three consecutive league matches. I believe they will at least not lose in the home match against Velez. Moreover, considering the bet of 1X, I will also go for the overall Under 3.5 goals. In the last four matches involving Racing, no more than three goals were scored: a defeat against Atletico Platense (0-3), draws against Defensa y Justicia and Huracan (1-1), and a victory over Banfield (2-0).
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Velez Sarsfield are positioned lower in the table, trailing the hosts by five points and currently being the fourth team from the bottom, close to the relegation zone. This team has not won a match in the league for ten consecutive rounds. I don't think they will be able to achieve victory away against Racing either. In the eight away matches of the championship, Velez Sarsfield has only won once, with two draws and five defeats. In the last four away matches, the team has failed to earn any points. Additionally, Velez Sarsfield has rarely been involved in matches with over 3.5 goals lately. In the last five rounds, this total has been surpassed only once.
I consider the hosts as favorites in this match and bet on them at least not losing. Velez Sarsfield has only secured three victories in the 19 rounds of the championship, with just one of them coming away from home. On the other hand, Racing has earned points in six out of nine home matches in the current season. As for goals, the Argentine championship cannot be considered high-scoring. In 19 rounds, Racing has had only six matches with over 3.5 goals, while Velez Sarsfield has achieved this feat in just four matches in partnership with their opponents. In 2021, both matches between these teams ended goalless in both the league and the cup. In 2022, Racing Avellaneda emerged victorious against the opponent at home, but the total goals stayed under 3.5 (2-0).
Prediction for the match: Racing Club not to lose and Under 3.5 scored goals.