Pyramids take on the visitors Smouha in the round 32 match of Egypt Premier League. The match will be played on Wednesday, June 28th at 30 June Stadium (Cairo).
Of course, Pyramids are the favorite in this match. The team is in second place in the table and still theoretically has a chance to win the championship. But only in theory. Al-Ahly (direct competitor for the title) has too many games in hand. Perhaps the club owners and sponsors didn't expect such an ending to the season after investing money in Pyramids. But that's all rhetoric, what about the facts? Yes, under the guidance of Portuguese coach Jaime Pacheco, Pyramids has won all five of their recent league matches. However, four of those victories were by a narrow margin with a minimum score: 1-0 against Farco, 1-0 against Fueche Cair, 2-1 against Al-Ittihad, and even 1-0 against the last-placed team, Haras.
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If all teams, including the league's main underdog, managed not to concede many goals and avoid heavy defeats against Pyramids, why shouldn't Smouha try to replicate that? Honestly, I highly doubt that the hosts will win this match by a margin greater than one goal. Towards the end of the season, Smouha has shown a decent performance for a team that was fighting for survival. Considering their two cup matches, in their last seven league games, they lost by a margin greater than one goal only once. In addition to that defeat, let's mention their victory against Gazl El-Mahalla (2-0 away), home draws against Ceramica Cleopatra (2-2) and Fueche Cair (1-1), and an away loss to Farco (0-1).
The hosts are objectively stronger and are considered favorites in this match. However, bookmakers are not rushing to declare that Pyramids will win by a margin of two or more goals, offering odds higher than two for Pyramids with a handicap. I also believe that Smouha is capable of putting up a fight, and if they lose, it will be by a minimal margin. I'll take the handicap (+1.5) for the guests. Pyramids has stopped winning by a margin of two or more goals recently. In their last meeting, they only managed a 2-1 victory over Smouha. And once again, missing out on the championship cannot have a positive impact on the morale of the home team players.
Prediction for the match: Smouha to win with +1.5 handicap.
