Pyramids take on the visitors Al Ahly in the round 28 match of Egyptian Premier League. The match will be played on Tuesday, June 13th at 30 June Stadium (Cairo).
Pyramids are currently leading the Egyptian championship. However, it is widely understood that this team has almost no chance of winning the gold medals. They are only two points ahead of their pursuer, and the competitor still has six matches in hand. Moreover, in the event of a defeat, Pyramids FC will be overtaken by Al Ahly at the top of the table. As for the upcoming match, I don't expect to see many goals. In their 30 matches, the hosts have conceded only 18 goals, which is slightly more than 0.5 goals per game on average. In the last five rounds, there was only one match where over 2.5 goals were scored. In the remaining four games, they played defensively, regardless of the strength of the opponents, whether it was Farco or Fueche Cairo from the top 6 of the table, or Ghazl El-Mahalla and Haras El-Hodoud from the relegation zone.
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Al Ahly Cairo have excellent chances of reclaiming the championship title after several seasons. Even in the event of a defeat against their direct competitor, the most successful club in the country will still be five points ahead with six matches in hand! It is highly unlikely that anyone believes Al Ahly will let go of the gold. Therefore, the visitors are unlikely to push themselves too hard in this match. A draw would be satisfactory for them in terms of the tournament standings. Like their opponent, this team has also predominantly played under 2.5 goals recently. This type of bet has been successful in four consecutive rounds: against Ceramica Cleopatra (1-0), Talae El Gaish (2-0), INPPI (2-0), and Smouha (2-0).
If the hosts have conceded 18 goals in 30 league matches, the visitors have defended even better, having conceded only 7 goals in 24 championship matches. It is logical to expect that in a battle between two such solid defenses, there won't be many goals. I would take the under 2.5 goals bet at a fairly decent odds for a match between two league leaders. It's worth noting that in their last four head-to-head meetings, the under 2.5 goals bet only failed once. In April and May, the teams faced each other in the finals of two cup tournaments. Both matches ended in draws: 0-0 and 1-1, and winners had to be determined in extra time on both occasions!
Prediction for the match: Under 2.5 scored goals.
