Poland take on the visitors Czech Republic in the round 9 match of group stage of UEFA Euro-2024 qualification. The match will be played on Friday, November 17th at PGE Narodowy (Warsaw).
Poland still maintains theoretical chances of making it to the tournament. They need to defeat the Czechs in their final match. The Czechs, in turn, should not win against Moldova in the next round, and Moldova is expected to drop points against Albania. In principle, everything could work out favorably for the Poles, but that's not the focus now. It's about the fact that the "White Eagles" have no reason to be cautious and play defensively in their upcoming match. Victory is needed at any cost. In seven rounds of qualification, the Polish team went over the total goals (2.5) twice: losses to Moldova (2-3) and the Czech Republic (1-3). In four other matches involving the team, there were at least two goals: wins against the Faroe Islands (2-0 and 2-0), a draw with Moldova (1-1), and a loss to Albania (0-2). This leads to the conclusion that games involving Poland are rarely dull in terms of goals.
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Despite the humiliating defeat in Albania (0-3), the Czechs have more optimistic prospects at the end of the Euro qualification than the hosts. The team is positioned in second place in the table, one point ahead of Poland (whom they are playing against now) and two points ahead of Moldova (whom they will face in the next round). Everything is in the hands of the "national team." And something tells me that Jaroslav Šilhavý's charges will eventually make it to the Euro. Besides the loss in Albania, the Czechs have twice exceeded the total goals (2) in the current qualification cycle, beating the Faroe Islands (3-0) and Poland (3-1). There was also a draw with Albania (1-1), which would have resulted in a return on the over 2 goals bet.
In this match, I expect many goals and, without much thought, I take the over 2 goals bet. This is also for insurance purposes because we are likely to see at least three goals here. For the Poles, whose chances for a top-2 finish are very slim, there is nothing left but to win their final qualification match and hope that all the stars in the sky align favorably for them in the crucial matches involving other teams. The Czechs can also support open football from the hosts since the strength of this team lies precisely in the attack. Both "White Eagles" and the "national team" are vulnerable in defense. In their first match of the current qualification, the Czechs and the Poles scored four goals together (1-3). I believe they will easily achieve at least 2-3 goals this time as well.
Prediction for the match: Over 2.0 scored goals.