Paraguay hosts Uruguay in round 15 of the World Cup qualification. The match will be played on Friday, January 28th at Estadio General Pablo Rojas (Asunción)
Paraguay is in ninth place in the South American qualification standings with 13 points. The Guaranies have two victories, seven draws, and five defeats after 14 matches. The Red-Whites are still among the contenders for a trip to Qatar, but they are not the favorites in the fight for the top five. The national team of Paraguay performs very poorly in the current qualifiers. In the last five rounds, the team didn’t gain a single victory. The situation has not yet been saved even by a change on the coaching bridge. Eduardo Berizzo was fired after a 0-4 away defeat to Bolivia in October 2021. But Guillermo Schelotto, who replaced him, didn’t improve the situation. Paraguay lost to Chile at home (0-1) and hardly defended an away draw against Colombia (0-0).
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The national team of Uruguay is in seventh place in the standings with 16 points after 14 matches. The Sky Blues gained four victories and four draws and suffered six losses. So far, they are outside the top five, which is why they risk being left without a ticket to the World Cup for the first time since 2006. The situation is not hopeless yet, but the team's recent results have been disappointing. The Uruguayans suffered four defeats in a row, and in the last game, they lost to Bolivia with a big score (3-0). In December 2021, such results provoked the dismissal of the head coach, Oscar Tabares, who had worked here for 15 years. His successor was 46-year-old Diego Alonso, who previously worked at Mexican Pachuca and Monterrey and coached the MLS club, Inter Miami.
The opponents have approximately equal chances of winning. Despite the crisis of results, the Paraguayans lost only one out of the last four home games (0-1 against Chile). And if we look at the last four away matches of the Sky Blues, who have a more solid roster, they were limited to a draw with the Peruvians (0-0). In two head-to-head matches in 2021, Uruguay and Paraguay acted poorly in the attack and scored only one goal for two from the penalty spot. There are no prerequisites for changing the situation. The Guaranies have not scored even once in the previous five rounds of qualification, and they share the last place with Venezuela in terms of the total number of goals (nine). The stellar attack of the Uruguayans also cannot boast of high performance: only 14 goals scored in 14 rounds. And we look at the last five games, the Sky-Blues organized only one goal against Brazil (4-1). Therefore, there is no reason to wait for an abundance of goals scored in the upcoming match.
Prediction for the match: Under 2.0 goals scored