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Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo Prediction 26 October 2023

Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo Prediction 26 October 2023

Palmeiras take on the visitors Sao Paulo in the round 29 match of Brazilian Serie A. The match will be played on Thursday, October 26th at Allianz Parque (Sao Paulo).

The end of September and the first half of October turned out to be dreadful for the piglets - the team suffered four consecutive losses in the championship. Nevertheless, this did not prevent Palmeiras from being in the top 4 of the table at the moment, where they returned after an away victory against Coritiba (2-0) in the last round of Serie A. Green and white have not dropped out of the medal race, and they head into the crucial derby against Sao Paulo in high spirits. While the city is the same, the stadiums are different. Therefore, it's reasonable to say that in 13 championship matches at their home ground, the piglets have secured eight wins. Before the two unexpected autumn defeats, they won four consecutive Serie A matches at home: against Goias (1-0), Vasco da Gama (1-0), Cruzeiro Mineiro (1-0), and Fortaleza (3-1).

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I'll reiterate, the city is the same, and the guests don't have to travel. Some might argue that the home-field advantage doesn't matter here, but as a matter of fact, outside their own stadium, Sao Paulo's players have suffered seven defeats this season, with six draws and no victories. In derby matches, the crisis-hit Corinthians only managed a draw at the start of the season when playing against Sao Paulo on the road. In the current season, the tri-colored team appears objectively weaker than the piglets. They currently sit only in tenth place in the table, fighting for a spot in the South American Cup zone. Like Palmeiras, Sao Paulo have also suffered defeats in the autumn: against Internacional (1-2), Fortaleza (1-2), and even America Mineiro (1-2). Two rounds earlier, they lost to Goias (0-2).

The derby between these teams is known as the Royal Showdown. The match promises to be intense. There is no clear favorite in such a derby and cannot be. The unpredictability of the outcome in such matches is twice as high. However, I'll still take a risk and bet on the piglets to win. This season, they perform significantly better than their opponents, striving to achieve more significant and ambitious goals. Moreover, Palmeiras's players clearly want to take revenge on their footballing enemy for their exit from the country's cup competition. Yes, Sao Paulo emerged stronger in that tournament, but in the last head-to-head match against the piglets in the championship, not even their home stadium helped tri-colored avoid defeat in the derby (0-2).

Prediction for the match: Palmeiras to win.

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Dylan McLaughlin
Football tipster