Palmeiras take on the visitors Atletico Mineiro in the round 27 match of Brazilian Serie A. The match will be played on Friday, October 20th at Allianz Parque (Sao Paulo).
Palmeiras in the Brazilian championship table still occupies a position in the upper half and is one of the contenders for medals. However, the autumn season has not been favorable for this team. In their last seven matches across all competitions, the Pigs have managed only one victory. They were eliminated from the Libertadores Cup, losing to Argentina's Boca Juniors in a penalty shootout after two draws in regular time (0-0 and 1-1). In Serie A, they have suffered three consecutive losses: to Gremio (0-1), Santos (1-2), and RB Bragantino (1-2). Even before this, in two rounds, Palmeiras collected points but scored only once: a win over Goias (1-0) and a draw with Corinthians (0-0). Most of the matches involving the Pigs had something in common – five out of seven had a bet on Under 2.5 goals.
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Atletico Mineiro, on the other hand, have been performing even better recently than their opponent. In the last six rounds, they secured four victories, had one draw, and suffered only one loss, which propelled them to the ninth position in the table. They are only two points away from the top 6 and four points from the top 4. The team is still in contention for championship medals and a place in the Libertadores Cup zone. But what's important is that in their last nine Serie A matches, Atletico Mineiro have only once played Over 2.5 goals, which occurred when they surprisingly lost to Coritiba at home (1-2). In the other eight matches, a consistent pattern was observed with fewer than three goals scored, whether they were home or away games against opponents of various calibers.
Based on the information provided, I would go for a bet on Under 2.5 goals in this match. It's unlikely that both teams will collectively score even three goals within 90 minutes. While Palmeiras are considered the favorite by bookmakers because they are playing at home and are positioned higher in the table, they have faced evident difficulties in scoring goals lately. The Roosters also score sparingly but concede few goals, having played six times to a clean sheet in the last nine rounds of the championship. In May, Atletico and Palmeiras met in a Serie A match in Sao Paulo and couldn't determine a winner (1-1 draw). These two teams have also played twice in August in the Copa Libertadores Round of 16, with both matches resulting in low-scoring affairs (1-0 and 0-0). Therefore, one should not expect a plethora of accurate shots in the upcoming clash between the Pigs and the Roosters.
Prediction for the match: Under 2.5 scored goals.
