Oshmyany hosts Orsha in round 4 of Belarusian Pershaya Liga. The match will be played on Sunday, May 10th at FOK Stadium (Oshmyany)
Oshmyany is a newcomer to the First League, so the results that the team is demonstrating can be regarded as quite good - the home team earned three points, there were two defeats to Sputnik and Volna, and the team gained a rather unexpected away victory over Arsenal Dzerzhinsky. Now the hosts will have to pass an incredibly difficult test, because Orsha, which is an extremely uncomfortable opponent for Oshmyany, is coming to visit - in 2016, the teams met twice in the First League, and both head-to-head matches ended in Orsha's victories with a total score of 11-1. I think that the hosts may again have difficulties since Orsha has much more experience, and the opponent’s class of performers is higher.
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Orsha is a strong middle peasant of the First League - in the seasons of 2017, 2018 and 2019, the squad of today's visitors became the 9th, 12th and 10th team of the tournament standings, respectively. The team’s start of the current season is quite good - in the first three rounds, they managed to take four points out of nine possible, and the only fiasco happened in the confrontation with Slonim. It seems to me that the visitors again have a real chance of success since the history of head-to-head meetings suggests that Oshmyany is a very convenient opponent for Orsha. I don’t think that the visitors will be left without points.
In my opinion, it is worth betting on the visitors. Orsha is a very experienced team, which is located in the middle of the tournament standings from season to season. Oshmyany is the newcomer to the second most powerful league in Belarus, so it’s rather difficult to expect a breakthrough from the hosts. I think Orsha will at least not lose.
Prediction for the match: Orsha to win with +0.5 handicap
