Osasuna take on the visitors Almeria in the round 34 match of Spanish LaLiga. The match will be played on Saturday, May 13th at Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona).
Osasuna are having a very impressive season. They reached the final of the national cup, where they were defeated by the reigning champions, Real Madrid. In La Liga, they are currently in the middle of the table, not involved in the relegation battle, but they are just three points away from the European qualification zone and can certainly compete for the seventh position. It is true that in the previous two matches, under the guidance of Jagoba Arrasate, they lost to Barcelona and Real Sociedad, both teams from the top four. However, firstly, Almeria is not on the same level as those teams. And secondly, before those defeats, Osasuna had two victories: against Cadiz (1-0) and Real Betis (3-2).
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Almeria are fighting for survival, desperately trying to secure their place in La Liga. Thanks to their victories over direct competitors such as Elche and Getafe, the team is currently outside the relegation zone. But it's one thing to defeat teams from the lower part of the table and a completely different challenge to face a strong opponent like Osasuna, especially when playing away. Almeria, I remind you, is primarily a home team. In 16 away matches this season, they have only earned 7 points, with one victory, four draws, and 11 losses. I highly doubt that Rubi's team will even manage to secure a draw at the El Sadar stadium, let alone win.
I consider Osasuna as clear favorites in this match, and the home team should claim all three points. We can forget about their campaign in the national cup and the lost final. In the league, the team still has motivation, and their fans expect nothing less than a victory against modest Almeria. In 16 home matches this season, Osasuna has won exactly half of them, which is quite good for a mid-table team. On the other hand, Almeria has earned 29 out of 36 points in La Liga at home. They struggle away, and only a team destined for relegation performs worse on the road. The head-to-head statistics also favor Osasuna, with four victories and one draw in the last five encounters. In the first half of the season, the "Reds" defeated this opponent away from home. I believe they will also come out on top in their own stadium. However, just in case of a draw, I will take the (0) handicap.
Prediction for the match: Osasuna to win with 0.0 handicap.
