Nurnberg hosts Greuther Furth in round 31 of German Bundesliga 2. The match will be played on Saturday, June 13th at Max-Morlock-Stadion (Nuremberg)
The hosts cannot win for six matches in a row, but there were no rivals from the top five (except for Arminia). Nurnberg has never managed to win with a difference of more than one goal in the last 10 rounds, and bookmakers’ coefficients on its victory are clearly overestimated. Besides, Nurnberg is not a scoring team – it quite rarely scores more than a goal per match and shows even worse results at home than on the road. Nurnberg wages fierce struggle to maintain residence in the second division, although it played in the Bundesliga only a year ago.
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Perhaps a struggle for survival doesn’t threaten Greuther Furth. Rather, there were some chances to compete for promotion, if not for a bad start. In general, Greuther is a peace-loving team that relies more on attack than on defense, despite the limited number of players in the lineup. But the Cloverleaves show good scoring. They do not know the bitterness of defeat for five away rounds, and they lost to Nurnberg in only one of the last five matches.
Why the hosts are considered the favorites? Do the bookmakers come from the fact that Greuther Furth has already accomplished all its tournament tasks? I do not think so. Besides, Nurnberg cannot win for five home games in a row. The fans will see an equal duel, but I would give a small preference precisely to the visitors. And I’ll bet on Greuther’s victory with a +1 handicap.
Prediction for the match: Greuther Furth to win with +1.0 handicap