Norway take on the visitors Georgia in the round 6 match of UEFA Euro-2024 qualification. The match will be played on Tuesday, September 12th at Ullevall Stadion (Oslo).
It is Norway, alongside Scotland, that experts consider the main contender for the second place in the group. It's understandable as the team boasts a global star (Haaland) and several talented players who perform in top clubs of major leagues. However, what Norway have never had, and still lacks, is defensive reliability. Not once has the goalkeeper of this national team kept a clean sheet during the Euro 2024 qualification cycle. The Scandinavians lost to Spain (0-3), to the Scots (1-2, and this was at home), and conceded in their first game against Georgia (1-1). They even allowed modest Cyprus to score on their home turf, although they secured a victory (3-1).
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Yes, the Crusaders lag behind their opponents in terms of class. However, underestimating the Georgians should not be done, especially when it comes to their attack. There is a global star in the national team (though not of the same caliber as Norway's). Moreover, Georgian footballers sometimes display bold and attacking football. As a result, they couldn't score against Scotland on their home field. The discussion above already covered the draw in the match against Norway. Georgia defeated Cyprus on their away field (2-1). Even in the latest round, when the national team was overwhelmed and crushed by the Red Fury, the Crusaders managed to score one goal against the mighty Spain.
Bookmakers are clearly favoring the Norwegians in this match, and I have no reason to argue with them. Both the hosts and the guests have star players in their squads. However, overall, in terms of squad strength, the Georgians are inferior to the Scandinavians. Nevertheless, in this match, I would venture to place a bold bet on the away team scoring. At the very least, the Georgian squad, including Kvaratskhelia and company, is more than capable of finding the net against the Norwegians, who are not the most reliable defensively. Moreover, Khvicha himself can create a goal opportunity seemingly out of nothing. Norway conceded goals in all previous matches of the Euro qualification, and the Crusaders managed to score in three out of four of them. They played a draw (1-1) against each other in the first meeting of this qualification. The odds for Georgia to score in the upcoming match are clearly overstated, which I will try to take advantage of.
Prediction for the match: Georgia to score – yes.
