Norrkoping hosts FK Liepaja in the first leg of the Europa League qualification quarterfinals. The match will be played on Thursday, July 25th at Ostgotaporten (Norrkoping)
In the past Swedish championship, Norrkoping lacked only 2 points to win the champion’s title. So, now it has to be content with the Europa League and not the Champions one. In the 1st qualifying round, Norrkoping coped with Irish St. Patrick away (0-2), and then at home (2-1).
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The fact that Liepaja eliminated Dinamo Minsk the first qualifying round is already surprising. Latvian Championship is weaker than Belarusian, and Dinamo Minsk is not the last club there. Nevertheless, the overall score of two matches (3-2) was in favor of the Balts, and they have got so far in the Europa League for the 2nd time in their history.
The victory of the Swedes is estimated a little bit high... Apparently, the win of the Latvians in Minsk had such an effect on the opinion of the bookmakers, so that those who don’t want to risk can bet on just a victory of the hosts. But for those who want more, I offer my minus handicap. Norrkoping knows about Liepaja’s tricks in the last round. And they saw blunders of the Belarusians. But Norrkoping won’t allow itself to make them. It will simply make the outcome at home, beating the Latvians with a decent goal difference. There is nothing to say in favor of Liepaja. Its squad is many times weaker than that of the opponent. The Latvian Championship is several times weaker than the Swedish one, and Liepaja is now in 6th place. Therefore, the hosts should win with a goal difference of two goals or even more.
Prediction for the match: Norrkoping to win with -1.5 handicap
