Nimes hosts Lyon in round 38 of French Ligue 1. The match will be played on Friday, May 24th at Stade des Costières (Nimes)
Both Nimes and Lyon have already accomplished their tasks in this season. Formally, Nimes may fall from 7th to 8th or 9th place; however, this will not change anything drastically. Lyon is definitely not moving from its third line in the standings. Both teams play attacking football and inferior only to PSG in terms of scoring. And in the current situation, being deprived of the tournament pressure, they probably will not show closed game.
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So, let’s look at the statistics. Lyon and Nimes are among the best teams of the French championship in terms of the average number of shots. Thus, on average, Lyon shoots on goal 17.68 times and allows 12.49 shots on its own target. The total score - 30.16 per game - is the highest in the whole championship. Nimes’s performance is not much more modest - 13.59 and 12.6, respectively. The total number is 26.19 shots per game, and this is the 4th result in the championship.
Hosting Nimes in the first leg match, Lyon won 2-0 but lost seriously in terms of shots. Thus, the hosts shot on the rival's target 13 times, the visitors - 23. That is, the teams delivered 36 shots in general. A high total was scored without any problems.
In 20 matches of Lyon (this is 55% of the total), there were at least 30 shots on target. Nimes’s fixture is much more modest - only 9 matches with a total scored. Not too many? I agree, but this happened because many French teams play very closed football. Wide-open game is rather rare to see. Nevertheless, when playing against teams like Lyon or PSG, the players of Nimes get free zones and are not afraid to get involved in a swing game.
For example, Nimes delivered 14 shots on the opponent's target in the home match with PSG. If we take into account that the key defenders Tete and Denayer will not help Lyon, we can predict the success of the home team’s attacking activities. On the other hand, there is no reason to doubt the abilities of Lyon - Genesio has an excellent selection of players who can break any defense. I think the teams will play at their own leisure and significantly surpass their average fixtures.
Prediction for the match: Over 29.5 shots on goal
