Nice hosts Brest in round 26 of French Ligue 1. The match will be played on Friday, February 21st at Allianz Riviera (Nice)
Nice earned 36 points in 25 matches played, and it is on the ninth line in the standings of the French Championship. Nice has 10 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses. At the same time, I want to note that this team plays much stronger at home than on the road. In 13 home games, Nice gained seven victories wins and three draws and suffered only three defeats. Besides, I can’t keep silent about the fact that the density of teams in the French championship is such that only four points separate Nice from the fourth place, which gives the right to participate in the Europa League, and the gap to the third place (this is already access to the Champions League) is five points.
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Brest also held 25 matches this season. The team earned 33 points and it ranks 13th in the French championship. Brest has eight wins, nine draws, and eight losses. At the same time, Brest, like its opponent, earned most points in home games. As for the away matches, this team looks rather weak. In 12 matches played, Brest gained only two wins and three draws and suffered seven losses. I want to note that Brest has losses in the squad before the upcoming match - four players will not play, and the participation of three more is still questionable.
Given the statistics of these teams in the context of their home and away games, I propose to bet on 1X + Under 4.5 goals scored. Statistics show that home Nice is stronger than away Brest, so I think that the hosts should at least not lose in the upcoming match. And these teams score such a number of goals only on big holidays. Therefore, I do not expect a large number of goals scored, especially since the first head-to-head match, which the teams played in mid-December on Brest’s pitch, ended in a goalless draw.
Prediction for the match: Nice to win with +0.5 handicap and Under 4.5 goals scored
