Newcastle United hosts Everton in round 20 of the English Premier League. The match will be played on Saturday, December 28th at St. James Park (Newcastle)
What should we expect from this match? No one can know for sure. But if you watch football a little more insightfully than with beer and chips on the armchair, you can estimate the approximate picture of the match. Newcastle is a closed team, which doesn’t claim possession of the ball and plays comfortably in its half of the field. On the contrary, Everton tries to keep the ball, plays on another side of the field and often shoots on goal. Hence the conclusion suggests that there will be plenty of corner kicks, namely in the first half. Why? The hosts are suitable for the visitors in terms of corner kicks, and even the statistics scream about it. Newcastle shots off an average total of corner kicks of 3.21, and its opponents shot off 6.95. Everton - 6.32, opponents - 4.32.
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Besides, I noticed one trend. If we look at the last 20 matches of the Toffees, they lost in terms of corner kicks only once, when they won in possession of the ball. When they could not win, almost all the opponents were stronger in skills and didn’t give the ball.
But we still need the handicap precisely in the first half, so we will look under the hood. Over the last 10 matches, Newcastle has not lost in terms of corner kicks in the first half only once, and it was a draw. In the previous five head-to-head meetings, the hosts left the field with more corner kicks after the first half only once, but the rest ended with the bet passed or there was a return.
Prediction for the match: Everton to with the first half with a -1.0 handicap in terms of corner kicks