Napoli hosts Cagliari in round 35 of Italian Serie A. The match will be played on Sunday, May 5th at Stadio San Paolo (Naples)
Napoli shows an unspectacular game at the finish of the season. In Serie A, the Neapolitans won only 2 of the last 5 matches and beat modest outsiders. In the away match against Frosinone, the Ancelotti’s men scored only 2 goals at all, despite the total dominance. However, the team experienced problems with conversion at home either. It scored one goal to Atalanta and failed to break through Arsenal’s defense. In a duel with Genoa, the Neapolitans power played for an hour but used their numerical superiority only once. Actually, Napoli scored only 8 goals in the last 7 official games. And there are no prerequisites for the fact that the Ancelotti’s men will change the situation now.
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Cagliari lost only 2 of the last 7 games and scored 13 points in the other 5 matches. Such a successful performance allowed the Islanders to guarantee the preservation of residence in Serie A. However, the Red and Blues played successfully primarily at home, while away they managed to beat only Chievo. Actually, the Islanders rarely showed a good away game throughout the season. First of all, the team experienced problems in the attack. Before the match with Chievo, for example, Cagliari hadn’t scored for 5 away games in a row. In the last away duel with Roma, the Red and Blues even managed to hold the initiative but did not create goal attempts.
In the first leg match, Napoli beat Cagliari with a minimum score; the only goal was scored in the 90th minute. I do not expect a prolific game now. Knocking out of the Europa League was a blow to Napoli, and Ancelotti’s men are unlikely to find motivation at the finish of the season. In addition, statistics are in favor of under 2.5 total. At home, Neapolitans score an average of only 2 goals per game. They and their opponents scored under 3.5 goals in 12 of 17 matches at Sao Paolo. As for Cagliari, the team played only 3 of 17 away matches where such a goal number was fixed. It is not surprising, given the poor away conversion of the team. Overall, we see under 3.5 goals in 14 matches of Cagliari in a row. As for Napoli, more than 3 goals were scored in only 1 of the last 6 games in Serie A. Therefore, there are no prerequisites for prolific football.
Prediction for the match: Under 3.5 goals scored
