Napoli take on the visitors AC Milan in the round 10 match of Italian Serie A. The match will be played on Sunday, October 29th at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Naples).
The reigning Italian champions, Napoli, have not had the best start to the new season. After nine rounds, the team finds itself in fifth place in the table, trailing league leaders Inter Milan by five points. While they seemed to be gaining momentum recently, they suffered a surprising home defeat to Fiorentina a couple of rounds ago. There's no certainty that they will win against Milan, especially with their main scorer, Victor Osimhen, sidelined due to injury. If Napoli does manage to win, it's more likely to be a low-scoring match. For instance, in a recent Champions League match in Berlin, they scored just one goal against Union Berlin. Napoli have played on the Under 2.5 goals market twice in the current Serie A season, winning against Sassuolo (2-0) and drawing with Bologna (0-0).
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AC Milan have played four Under 2.5 goals matches in the current Serie A season. In three of those cases, they emerged victorious, defeating Lazio (2-0), Verona (1-0), and Genoa (1-0). In the latest round of the league, they narrowly lost to Juventus with a minimal scoreline (0-1). Furthermore, two out of three group stage matches in the UEFA Champions League ended in goalless draws for Milan against Borussia Dortmund and Newcastle United. In addition, they suffered a significant loss to the French champions in Paris during the week. Could Milan be experiencing a crisis? Certainly in attack. However, the team is capable of defending well against a top opponent, as seen in two quarter-final matches in the previous Champions League. Both games had an Under 2.5 goals outcome: 1-0 and 1-1.
It's unlikely that the central match of the Serie A round in Italy will be high-scoring. Both teams expended a lot of energy during the midweek in the Champions League group stage matches, with Napoli playing away against Union Berlin and Milan facing Paris Saint-Germain. Footballers are not robots, and fatigue is a factor that cannot be ignored. Therefore, the priority for the teams in this match will likely be to defend well and avoid conceding goals, as it would be too risky to go all-out offensively in such an important game. Napoli have been inconsistent at the start of the season and will also be missing their top goal scorer. Milan, on the other hand, has been showing signs of struggle lately. I predict that in this encounter, viewers will witness a maximum of 1-2 goals scored between the two teams.
Prediction for the match: Under 2.5 scored goals.
