Nacional hosts Penarol in the first leg of the Copa Sudamericana 1/8 finals. The match will be played on Friday, July 16th at Gran Parque Central (Montevideo)
Nacional won 48 champion’s titles. Moreover, it became the best team in Uruguay in 2019 and 2020. Of course, the Tricolors would like to gain the fiftieth title, but it is not clear whether they will manage to keep the first place. So far, Plaza Colonia takes it with a three-point margin, and the local River Plate and Liverpool are very close to the leader either. Moreover, Nacional began to have problems with away matches. The Tricolors tied against Boston River and Rentistas, and the voyage to Montevideo City in the last round turned into a 3-0 defeat. However, now Nacional will play at home, and here the team won confidently three times in a row. And the Tricolors looked good in the home matches of Copa Libertadores, but the results of away games let them down.
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Penarol won the championship of Uruguay 52 times, and this is one of the most titled teams in the entire world football history. But after three consecutive victories in 2016-2018, the Black-and-Yellows lost their positions. And it seems that they will not be able to regain them in the current season. Even with a 2-0 victory over Sarrito in the last round, now the grandee is outside the top five, having only 17 points after 10 games played. So far, Mauricio Larriera, who was appointed at the end of last year, retains his post, including because in the spring his players were able to show themselves well in the Copa Sudamericana. They won the group, where they played not only against Sport Ancayo and Asuncion River Plate but also against eminent Corinthians. It is all the more important now for the coach to show a satisfactory result in the derby again.
Head-to-head matches of these clubs (and more than 200 of them have already taken place) are considered the Superclassico of Uruguay. Recently, the host side has practically not suffered defeats. In the last 13 games, the visitors managed to win only once (Nacional in 2019). The current shape of both clubs raises some doubts. Of course, there will be a lot of struggle, but the fans will certainly not see many goals. We bet on Under 2.5 goals scored.
Prediction for the match: Under 2.5 goals scored
