Montreal Impact hosts Minnesota United in round 21 of US MLS. The match will be played on Sunday, July 7th at Saputo Stadium (Montreal)
Montreal Impact is located on the fifth place in the overall championship standings of MLS and on the third in the Eastern Conference standings. This team has 30 points after 20 matches. If we are talking about the fairness of their results, everything is fine here: according to GD-xGD, they have 0.4 – there is no overperforming, although the fact that they have a -7goal difference is a little alarming. There is a certain overperforming in the attack, which is compensated by underperforming in defense: Montreal Impact scored 24 goals with xG = 19.8. In terms of the quality of the shots, the result is slightly above average - xG/Sh = 0.11. As for the game in defense, I repeat, Montreal Impact is not so bad, but there is underperforming: the team allowed 31 times with xGA = 27.2. Truth be told, their defense is unlikely to claim for the title of at least one of the best in the MLS, because they allow the shots on their goal quite often: xGA/Sh = 0.15.
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Minnesota United ranks tenth in the MLS championship overall standings, and it is fifth in the Western Conference standings. Minnesota United has 27 points after 18 matches played. As for the fairness of their results, Minnesota United is a little unlucky. You can understand this by their GD-xGD (GD-xGD = (- 0.5) - of course, it is not critical, but for comparison, only three of the first 12 teams have "-" in this fixture (there are also two clubs, which have less than 1). Minnesota United's attacking game evokes slightly contradictory impressions: on the one hand, they overperform (xG = 27.3, despite the fact that Minnesota shot the opponents’ goal 33 times for the entire championship), but this team delivers rather quality shots: xG/Sh = 0.12. There is a bad situation in the defense of Minnesota United (27 goals were allowed with xGA = 21.2), the quality of the shots that Minnesota United allowed delivering on its own goal is also not the highest (xGA/Sh = 0.1).
Although Montreal Impact is higher in the standings, it seems to me that it’s better not to guess the outcome of the match, simply because Minnesota United also constitutes a certain menace. It is noticeable in the quality of their shots. In turn, Montreal Impact plays quite well in the attack, but there are problems in defense (xGA/Sh = 0.15 – 22nd result in the entire league). Here you can try to bet on Both to score - Yes (I have almost no doubt that Montreal Impact will score), but the option with Minnesota’s goals seems to me more reliable.
Prediction for the match: Minnesota United to score over 1.0 goal
