Monaco take on the visitors Toulouse in the round 38 match of French Ligue 1. The match will be played on Saturday, June 3rd at Stade Louis II (Monaco).
Until recently, Monaco were contending for a place in the Champions League, but the disappointing results towards the end of the season might leave them without European competitions altogether. Currently, Monaco has 65 points and shares the 5th-6th position with Rennes, trailing by just one point behind Lille, who occupy the 4th spot. However, Monaco has a worse goal difference than Rennes, which contributes to this situation. Monaco has only secured one victory in their last five matches, and it came against the season's main underdog, Angers (1-2). They also managed a draw at home against Lille (0-0), but suffered defeat against Montpellier (0-4), Lyon (3-1), and Rennes (2-0). In the current season at Stade Louis II, Monaco has recorded nine wins, three draws, and six losses, with a total goal difference of 36 scored and 31 conceded.
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This season has been quite successful for Toulouse regardless of the circumstances, as the Purple team won the French Cup and claimed their first-ever title in history. In the league, under the guidance of Philippe Montanier, Toulouse sits in the middle of the table, currently occupying the 13th position. Relegation is no longer a threat to the team, so Toulouse is calmly finishing the current championship. Since their resounding victory in the French Cup final against Nantes (5-1), Toulouse has slightly slowed down. In the subsequent five league matches, Montanier's team drew four times and suffered one defeat. During this period, Toulouse's attack managed to score only one goal, but they conceded just two goals. In the eighteen away matches, Toulouse has achieved six wins, three draws, and suffered nine defeats, scoring 22 goals and conceding 29.
Considering the motivation in the league, a victory is much more needed by Monaco's players. However, the recent match results do not inspire optimism. Monaco is facing a systemic crisis that has affected both their attack and defense. They have scored only three goals in the last five rounds while conceding ten, despite not having any notable squad issues. Toulouse will enter this match without any pressure, which gives them a psychological advantage. Even though their performances have lacked brilliance, Toulouse has been undefeated for four consecutive matches, including two away games. In my opinion, in the current situation, it is not certain that Monaco will win this match, especially not with a two-goal margin. My prediction: Toulouse +1.5 handicap (Toulouse with a 1.5-goal advantage).
Prediction for the match: Toulouse to win with +1.5 handicap.
