Melbourne Knights take on the visitors Port Melbourne Sharks in the round 18 match of Australian National Premier League – Victoria. The match will be played on Friday, June 16th.
Melbourne Knights are having a very strong season and currently sit confidently in the top 6 of the table, which grants them the opportunity to participate in the playoffs. The team is positioned in fourth place and has suffered only three defeats in 17 rounds. In their last five league matches, they have only lost once. Melbourne Knights have failed to earn points in only nine of their home matches this season. The likelihood of this team securing at least a draw in the upcoming round is very high. More than half of their league matches have featured Over 2.5 goals, specifically 11 out of 17. In four out of their last five matches, they have scored a minimum of three goals alongside their opponents.
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Port Melbourne Sharks are currently in fifth place in the table, following closely behind Melbourne Knights. However, they are trailing by a significant margin of 7 points. They win slightly less frequently and suffer defeats twice as often. If we look at their recent results, we can see that their victories have only come against teams outside the top 6, such as Altona Magic (7th place), Moreland City (third-last place), and North Geelong Warriors (last place). Port Melbourne Sharks have faced more formidable opponents and experienced losses against Avondale FC (0-1) in May and Green Gully (1-3) in June. In terms of Over 2.5 goals, the team has even surpassed the hosts in terms of frequency. In the 17 league matches involving Port Melbourne, only four have seen less than three goals scored.
It's difficult to determine a clear favorite in the match between the fourth and fifth-placed teams in the championship. However, the 7-point difference between the teams in the table indicates that the hosts have generally performed better this season. I believe that Melbourne Knights will at least avoid defeat at home. Additionally, considering the 1X bet, I also recommend considering the common occurrence of Over 2.5 goals in the Australian league. As a result, the odds are very enticing, exceeding two. In March of this year, the teams already faced each other at Port Melbourne Sharks' home ground. Even in that highly competitive match, Melbourne Knights emerged victorious, even as visitors, with a score of 3-2.
Prediction for the match: Melbourne Knights not to lose and Over 2.5 scored goals.
