Manchester United hosts AS Roma in the first leg of the Europa League semifinals. The match will be played on Thursday, April 29th at Old Trafford (Manchester)
Manchester United has a tough calendar in the current season. In the Premier League, the Red Devils took first place in terms of the number of matches played during the week. Now Manchester United has 24 such games, which is even more than that of Manchester City (23). Having left the FA Cup, Manchester United received a short break. The team rested for six days between the Premier League games against Burnley (3-1) and Leeds (0: 0). Judging by the results of the last match, the reboot did not go in favor of the Devils. A draw with Leeds interrupted their 5-match winning streak in all competitions. Manchester United bombarded Leeds with shots on goal (16 attempts), but none of them could be called dangerous.
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AS Roma has not had such a long vacation since 3 April. Probably fatigue is making itself felt. The Wolves have not gained a single victory in the last four matches (two draws and two losses). In this segment, the Romans could not beat not only strong opponents like Ajax (1-1) and Atalanta (1-1), but also the obvious outsiders of the Italian championship, Torino (1-3) and Cagliari (2-3). The victory over Ajax in the previous Europa League stage was also not easy for Roma. In the first away match (1-2), the Romans conceded in the 39th minute. There was little chance of winning back. In the first half, the Italian team delivered only three shots on the opponent's goal, and two of them came from outside the penalty area. And the Wolves managed to equalize only in the 56th minute. After that, Ajax established total dominance. The team had possession of the ball 77% of the time and delivered seven shots on goal. However, Roma was lucky – it scored from a corner in the 87th minute.
Manchester United plays more confidently than Roma not only in the Europa League, but also in national tournaments. In the last 10 matches in all competitions, the Red Devils suffered only 1 defeat and won 7 victories. Roma had 3 wins and 4 losses in the same period. Taking into account the condition of Manchester United and Roma, the British have more chances of winning. The statistics of the head-to-head matches are also on the side of the Red Devils. They have not lost to Roma in the last six games. However, there will hardly be many goals in the upcoming game. Manchester United is extremely reliable in defense. The team has not conceded more than 1 goal in 14 of the last 15 matches in all tournaments. At the same time, Mancunians rarely score more than two goals. We think that the hosts will at least not lose, and the fans shouldn’t count on an abundance of goals scored.
Prediction for the match: Manchester United to win with +0.5 handicap and Under 3.5 goals scored