Malmo FF hosts HJK in the first leg of the Champions League qualification quarterfinals. The match will be played on Wednesday, July 21st at Eleda Stadion (Malmö)
In the 9th round, Malmo conceded three goals from Norrkoping (2-3). From that moment on, it was very difficult for the opponents to upset the goalkeeper of the Sky Blues. Four matches have passed after that game against Norrkoping (two matches against Riga in the Champions League and two games of the Swedish championship). And only the Latvian club managed to score against Malmo at home (1-1). At the same time, Malmo FF won the first leg (1-0) and beat its opponents in the championship, Sirius (4-0) and Degerfors (5-0). I would like to note that Malmo opened the scoring in four out of five matches. Bookmakers give a coefficient of 1.84 on the fact that the hosts will score first in the upcoming match.
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In the match of the 15th round of Veikkausliiga, HJK lost to AC Oulu away (2-1). Before that, the Finnish champions were defeated for the last time in early May, when they lost to KuPS in the national cup final in a penalty shootout. Moreover, HJK conceded only two goals in the last five matches. The Finns passed the first round of the Champions League qualification very confidently. In the first leg, HJK players scored three goals against Buducnost by the 13th minute and allowed the opponent to score only once. In the return match, the Montenegrins lost without any chances (4-0). I would like to note that HJK scored 8 out of 11 goals in the last five matches in the first half.
Judging by the results, Malmo appeared as a completely different team in European cups. At least four goals were scored in each of its last three matches of the Swedish championship. And the Champions League two-legged confrontation against Riga pleased the fans with only three goals. HJK is unlikely to repeat the result of the matches against Buducnost. In the last five games, Malmo conceded 0.8 goals on average. And the Swedes conceded in only one of the last five home matches. At the same time, the Finns conceded in only two of their last five away games. I will assume that teams will not score more than two goals in the upcoming game.
Prediction for the match: Under 2.5 goals scored
