Mainz hosts Werder Bremen in round 33 of German Bundesliga. The match will be played on Saturday, June 20th at Opel Arena (Mainz)
In the last round, Mainz created one of the main sensations of the midweek, having managed to beat Borussia in Dortmund and keep a clean sheet. Having only 34% of ball possession, the Carnival club managed to shoot on target even more than the home team. Two out of six shots delivered on Burki’s goal ended in goals. Reliable game of the goalkeeper and defenders and perfect conversion of goal attempts determined the outcome of the meeting. Currently, the 05-ers are on the 15th line and outrank the relegation zone by five points. Even a draw in the upcoming meeting would be acceptable for the hosts, but against the background of their game in the last round, there is a feeling that they can win.
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Werder Bremen is holding a terrible season. The team earned only 28 points in 32 rounds. It is located on the penultimate place in the standings, and only Paderborn has worse indicators. Werder suffered three defeats in the last four matches, having managed to beat only the same modest Paderborn. In general, Bremen’s affairs are going “down and out." The team cannot count on Nuri Sahin, who organized at least something in the midfield and occasionally provided his partners with assists. Several players from the defensive line are also injured. In the last round, Werder stubbornly resisted under the onslaught of Bayern but did not hold out and lost 0-1, having spent a lot of strength and energy. The men of Kochfeldt may lack strengths for the upcoming match.
For some reason, bookmakers give smaller coefficients on Werder, but I do not think that this is fair. Mainz demonstrated excellent organized football in the last round and won the game in which they were supposed to have very few chances. Therefore, I would not be in a hurry to record the home team in the ranks of the underdogs. Bremen plays extremely unstable and may even lose. But I will bet on Mainz with X.
Prediction for the match: Mainz to win with +0.5 handicap
