Mainz hosts Hoffenheim in round 21 of the German Bundesliga. The match will be played on Saturday, February 5th at Mewa Arena (Mainz)
In three league matches in 2022, Mainz suffered two away defeats and gained one home victory. In general, the Carnival Club shows itself well at home but does not impress on foreign pitches. The Red-Whites scored 21 points at home and six points away. All their home results look like this: six victories, three draws, and one defeat. Mainz is among the top four Bundesliga teams in terms of home statistics. In addition, it scored 19 goals and conceded only five times. There is no team in Germany that conceded less at home! Mainz has 27 points after 20 rounds, and this is enough to be on the 10th line in the standings. The gap from the relegation zone is eight points. I cannot but note that six out of ten home games of the Carnival club ended with “Both teams to score — no.”
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Hoffenheim didn’t earn points in the previous two rounds. First, the Blue-Whites lost to Union Berlin (2-1), and then they suffered a defeat from Borussia Dortmund (2-3). As a result, they dropped from fourth place to seventh. After 20 matches, they have 31 points in their assets. Now the gap to the top four is three points. It is noteworthy that before two failures in a row, Hoffenheim had a streak of seven consecutive matches without defeats (five victories and two draws). Hoeneß's men are among the best clubs in Germany in terms of home results. But they cannot boast of great statistics on foreign pitches: three wins, two draws, and five losses with a goal difference of 18-20. Hoffenheim is one of the brightest teams in Germany. A total goal difference is 42-32, and an average of 3.5 goals is scored per match with the participation of the Blue-Whites.
The head-to-head match in the first round of the current German championship ended in a sensation. Hoffenheim was defeated at home (0-2). In the last draw of the Bundesliga, the game between Mainz and Hoffenheim at Mewa Arena ended with a score of 1-1. Of course, now we will see an interesting confrontation. Mainz plays very well at home (only one defeat in ten games). But in general, the team is weaker than Hoffenheim. However, I would not dare to bet on the visitors. Throughout the season, they performed extremely poorly on foreign pitches. I don't think anything will change now. Mainz is a moderately productive team at home. And Hoffenheim prefers an offensive style on any pitch. Therefore, it is worth waiting for a productive match.
Prediction for the match: Over 2.5 goals scored
