Mainz hosts Hoffenheim in round 34 of German Bundesliga. The match will be played on Saturday, May 18th at Opel Arena (Mainz)
Mainz ends the season on the up note. Carnival club not only managed to get points in the game with Leipzig but also beat Eintracht away. Moreover, the Red-and-whites managed to blunt the attack of the Eagles, having ended that game with a clean sheet. It is quite telling, given that Mainz does not shine in the defense. However, the away statistics of the team is terrible; at home, the Red-and-whites always offer decent resistance. And most importantly, Carnival club conceded 15 goals at home less than on the road. Yes, there were failures in the matches with Bayer and Leipzig, but the team conceded only 2 goals from Bayern and Borussia. Moreover, the team from Monchengladbach scored only one goal in the field of Mainz.
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Hoffenheim faltered at the crucial moment. The team gained only one point in the last 3 matches. As a result, it not only lost the chances to get into the Champions League but won’t surely manage to qualify for the Europa League. To get into the European cup, Hoffenheim must win and wait for the misfire of Wolfsburg. It is unlikely that the Wolves will miss their chance, and it won’t be easy for Hoffenheim to defeat Mainz. In recent games, Hoff had problems with conversion. As a result, the team managed to score only 4 goals in 3 last matches. In the match with Werder, Hoffenheim failed to score at all, although it had not left the field without goals in the past 17 games in a row.
German championship is the most scoring among the top European leagues. Goal extravaganzas occur often here. However, the odds for Under 3.5 goals scored are rather good-looking, which can be used. Simple statistics. In this season, Hoffenheim played with over 3.5 goals in only 17 of 33 Bundesliga matches. To put it bluntly, in half of the games. Mainz did play with over 3.5 goals only in a third of the matches of German Championship. That is, the odds for Under 3,5 goals scored in the upcoming match are overstated. In the match Hoffenheim - Werder Bremen, they also suggested an abundance of goals, but the teams scored 1 goal for two (bookmakers gave 1.65 odds for Over 3.5 goals scored it that meeting). Given that Mainz concedes an average of just over 1 goal per game at home, and Hoffenheim didn’t perform well in recent matches, we’re unlikely to see prolific football. In addition, it will be difficult for the visitors to brace themselves after a streak of unsuccessful matches. At the same time, Hoffenheim is perfectly aware that Wolfsburg will not miss its opportunity. Finally, Mainz and Hoffenheim played 1-1 in the first leg match, although at least 3 goals were expected.
Prediction for the match: Under 3.5 goals scored
