Mainz 05 welcome the visitors Borussia Monchengladbach in the German Bundesliga – Round 25. The match will be held on Saturday, March, 9th, at the Opel Arena (Mainz).
Mainz 05’s recession was expected, same as their relegation from the European zone where they stayed for a long time (also, they even found themselves in the top-three for a while). The team even descended below top-ten. In 5 previous rounds, they attained just 3 points, having overcame the same lost Schalke 04.
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Borussia Monchengladbach are also surprising lately. In 4 last fixtures, they racked up a sole point, drawing against the Schalke. Notably, the team faced Hertha Berlin, Wolfsburg, and Bayern Munich (in the last round). All in all, the bad streak put them down to the 4th tier, and they presently feature a 2-point breakaway from the third-placed RB Leipzig.
This breakaway is not a problem, as the 4th place holders also compete in the Champions League. The problem is that the guests are now only 3 points ahead of the 5th Eintracht Frankfurt and just 4 points ahead of the 6th Bayer 04 Leverkusen. These sides expect any Gladbach’s slipup to replace them in the first-four. The coming match will probably upset them though. Borussia are not blistering these days, but Mainz are no better. Even the home match factor will not help the hosts much. In 5 previous head-to-heads, Mainz lost thrice and drawed twice. Moreover, in 3 latest meetings, the homeside on the day failed to find the net. They are not effective today either, having made 27 goals, only 3 bottom-placed teams and Schalke registered less.
The better-knit and more qualified Gladbach will probably attain points on Saturday. As we see, they know how to resist Mainz. The hosts are attack-shy and very vulnerable in the defense. They allowed 38 goals, and the guests will make use of this. However, Borussia hardly care much of goal-fests. They need points to keep the 4th line at least and climb the table, if possible. Therefore, they will demonstrate a rational performance, with no effective tricks, looking to win only. In light of the guests’ latest record, we’d better play safe and predict a possible draw as well. That said, we should not expect a goal-rich match – the head-to-head will produce 3 goals at most. Only 5 of 20 recent sides’ clashes saw over 3.5 goals.
Prediction for the match: Borussia Monchengladbach to win or Draw & Under 3.5 goals.
