Lorient take on the visitors Marseille in the round 30 match of French Ligue 1. The match will be played on Sunday, April 9th at Stade du Moustoir (Lorient).
Lorient are a strong mid-table team in the current season of Ligue 1. In the first half of the championship, the team looked significantly better, even competing for a place in the European Cup zone. However, gradually the results of Régis Le Bris's team began to decline, experiencing a predictable regression towards the mean. And now Lorient is only tenth in the table. In the last five rounds, the "Oranges" lost once at home (to Auxerre 0-1) and once away (to Lille 1-3). I think no one will be surprised if Lorient fails to score any points even in their match against Marseille, even if it's on their home turf.
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In the previous round, Marseille sensationally lost points, drawing 1-1 with Montpellier. This allowed Lens to catch up with them in the battle for the second place in the table, which directly leads to the Champions League. Igor Tudor's team has no right to make a mistake - they lost points at home and now they need to make up for it away. And I think that the "Provençals" will rehabilitate themselves already in this round and win away. In the last five away matches of Ligue 1, Marseille has not even allowed a single draw, winning against Nantes, Clermont, Toulouse, Rennes, and Reims. I think Lorient will be added to this list.
In this match, I won't reinvent the wheel and simply predict the victory of the favorite. Marseille is objectively stronger than the hosts in the current season, as the league table shows. Moreover, the motivation of the guests to gain points is sky-high. Unlike the hosts, who are not fighting for survival in the league or high places. Yes, Lorient does not often lose at home in the championship, this has happened only four times in 14 matches. But now the best team in the league in terms of away games is coming to visit. In 14 such games, Marseille has won 11 times. And in personal meetings, they have not allowed Lorient to even draw in the last five matches. Including two of these wins were away. I think that the more talented team will take all three points this time as well.
Prediction for the match: Marseille to win.
