Lokomotiv Moscow hosts Lazio in round 5 of the Europa League group stage. The match will be played on Thursday, November 25th at RZD Arena (Moscow)
Lokomotiv Moscow is only in 4th place after four rounds of the Europa League group stage. The team has two points, which were earned thanks to draws against Galatasaray and Marseille. Despite the 4th line, Gisdol's charges are still claiming promotion to the playoffs of the Europa League and the Conference League. They are three points behind the 2nd place and two points behind the 3rd. In theory, Lazio can be beaten with a large score, and this will be enough to move up to 2nd place. Interesting fact: all four matches of the Steam Locomotives in the group stage of the Europa League ended with Under 2.5 goals scored. Lokomotiv Moscow usually shows very mediocre results against representatives of the Italian championship. In the last 14 matches, it gained only one victory and four draws and suffered nine defeats.
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Lazio is on the 2nd line in the group standings with five points scored. In four matches of the current UEL, the Romans chalked up one defeat, two draws, and one victory. It should be noted that the team shows quite weak results in away matches of this tournament. In seven previous games, the Eagles gained only one victory and suffered six defeats. It should be noted that Lazio has never lost to Russian teams in its entire history: three victories and four draws. Three out of four matches that Sarri's charges have played in the current UEL have ended with Under 2.5 goals scored. If the Romans tie in the upcoming game, they will definitely not fall below 3rd place.
The first game between these teams ended with a confident victory for the Romans with a score of 2-0. But in six out of eight previous games in the Europa League, Lazio players could not score more than one goal. Of course, I'm not sure that the Europa League is the tournament where Lokomotiv Moscow will spend their main forces. Still, finishing the group stage without a single victory is not good. The upcoming match is the last home match in this stage, so the chances of success are high. Moreover, if the hosts win, they will continue to fight for the playoffs of the Europa League or the Conference League. The problem for Loko is that the team has historically played poorly against the Italians. But I won’t look for a winner and propose to bet on Under 2.5 goals scored.
Prediction for the match: Under 2.5 goals scored
