Lokomotiv Moscow hosts Bayer Leverkusen in round 5 of the Champions League group stage. The match will be played on Tuesday, November 26th at RZD Arena (Moscow)
In this season, Semin's team plays terribly on the defensive. Moreover, Lokomotiv concedes a lot not only in the Champions League but also in the RPL. Already half of the season is behind, and Lokomotiv has kept a clean sheet in only four out of 16 matches of the Premier League. And even the low-productive clubs (Dynamo and Ufa) breached the defense of the vice-champions of Russia. Before the game with Bayer, Loko played with an outsider of the RPL, but Semin's men conceded from Tambov already in the first half. Actually, the Red-Greens kept a clean sheet in only 18.2% of matches of this season. And Semin’s team has been conceding for six matches in a row.
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Since Bosz headed Bayer, the game style of the team has changed. But the constant focus on the ball possession often leads to dangerous counterattacks of the opponent. As a result, the Company XI kept a clean sheet in only 10 of 37 official matches. In this season, Bayer’s defense was cracked not only by B1 leaders but also by teams such as Paderborn, Fortuna, and Alemania. As for the Champions League, the Red-Blacks conceded seven goals in four matches without any clean sheet.
Lokomotiv’s players do not withstand the speed of European teams and gradually sag physically. It is no accident that Juventus squeezed Loko at the end of the second half in Turin. In Moscow, the Italians also took advantage of the Russians’ fatigue and scored the winning goal in the added time. Atletico Madrid sent both goals to Guilherme's net after the break. Bayer’s players will attack more and more actively and maul the defense of Lokomotiv. However, the Germans can score at any time. In recent matches, Bayer regularly breached the opponents' defense, including two goals scored to the nets of Wolfsburg and Atlético. It is unlikely that the Russians who conceded in five home games in a row will break such an unsuccessful streak in the match with Bayer. A “both teams to score - yes” bet was recorded in 72.7% of Lokomotivs’s matches of this season, including the last four games. I believe this trend will continue.
Prediction for the match: Both teams to score - yes
