Lithuania take on the visitors Hungary in the round 8 match of group stage of UEFA Euro-2024 qualification. The match will be played on Tuesday, October 17th at S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas (Kaunas).
Lithuania was objectively considered one of the underdogs in the group, unlikely to seriously contend for top positions. They have lived up to this status. They predictably lost away matches to Hungary and Serbia, both times by a score of 0-2. However, Lithuanians have been consistently scoring at home. They've secured points against Bulgaria (1-1) and Montenegro (2-2) on their home turf, even though they lost to Serbia (1-3). Moreover, they defeated Bulgaria on their own territory last week (2-0). Yes, Lithuania is the underdog in the upcoming match against Hungary. But the opponent's defense is far from perfect, and the representatives of the former Soviet country are quite capable of putting at least one ball into the opponent's net on their home field.
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Hungary is currently the leader of their group and is playing excellent football. In the first three matches, the Magyars kept clean sheets in the Euro 2024 qualification. However, the matches against Bulgaria (3-0) and Lithuania (2-0) were home games. Additionally, Hungary played goalless against their opponent in Montenegro. But the following two matches against Serbia saw goals from both sides, with Hungary emerging victorious in both cases, both ending 2-1. Of course, Lithuania is not Serbia, but the Magyars often play an attacking style and can potentially concede to anyone, especially in away games. Marco Rossi prefers bold football, which Lithuania's representatives can take advantage of at least once.
My initial thought regarding this match was a handicap (-1.5) for the visitors. If someone has no faith in Lithuania scoring, they might consider that bet. In reality, Hungary is significantly stronger than their opponents. However, I don't rule out the possibility that, at the very least, the hosts can find the back of the Magyars' net. Lithuania is no pushover on their home turf. They are unlikely to aim for more than that. Essentially, for the Hungarians, conceding one goal won't be a catastrophe. Even if they concede one, they are likely to score more. Currently, these teams are at slightly different levels. However, the favorites have an imperfect defense. So, Lithuanians could manage to score at least one goal at home. The bet is home team will score: yes.
Prediction for the match: Lithuania to score – yes.