Lille hosts Metz in round 25 of French Ligue 1. The match will be played on Friday, February 18th at Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Villeneuve d'Ascq)
In the last round, Lille earned the long-awaited three points thanks to a 0-1 victory over Montpellier. A streak of two consecutive defeats was interrupted. Now the Mastiffs are in 10th place in the standings with 35 points in their assets. The chances of getting into the European competition zone have increased tremendously. The gap to fifth place is only two points. In 11 home games, Gourvennec's men earned only 19 points. All indicators of the team at the home stadium are as follows: five victories, four draws, and two defeats with a goal difference of 15-16. I will add that eight of Lille's 11 home games ended with an exchange of goals scored.
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Metz lost to Marseille a week ago at home (1-2). As for fighters for survival, the Maroons looked very soundly against the backdrop of a team that claims silver medals this season. But the situation in the standings for Frederic Antonetti's men leaves much to be desired. At the moment, Metz is on the 19th line, that is, in the direct relegation zone. However, the gap to the saving 17th position is only one point. Metz has one of the three worst defensive lines in Ligue 1. In 24 games, the Maroons conceded as many as 45 times. Only Bordeaux conceded more in the current championship (45 goals). In 12 away games, Metz scored 13 points (three victories, four draws, and five defeats).
In the first part of the current season, Metz and Lille pleased the fans with a bright confrontation, which ended in a battling 3-3 draw. In the last championship, the Mastiffs beat the Maroons twice (1-0 and 0-2). I think that now Lille will be able to beat Metz despite all the problems. Still, the Mastiffs are not just higher in the standings. They have a much higher level than the Maroons. Moreover, Lille will play at its native stadium. This season, Gourvennec's men are showing quite good football at home. Yes, Metz is pretty successful on foreign pitches (13 points in 12 games). Still, I do not believe in the visitors because of their low class.
Prediction for the match: Lille to win with -1.0 handicap
