Leeds take on the visitors Leicester in the round 33 match of English Premier League. The match will be played on Tuesday, April 25th at Elland Road (Leeds).
Leeds are not stronger than Leicester either overall this season or specifically at the moment, to the extent that they would give guests a 1.71 odd. I think the odds for the home team to win should be clearly higher. In the last five rounds of the EPL, Leeds only won one game, beating Nottingham Forest 2-1 at home, the worst team in the championship by performance in away matches. After that, they suffered three defeats, two of which were at home and crushing - against Crystal Palace (1-5) and Liverpool (1-6). After that, they couldn't get any points in the away match against Fulham (1-2).
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I believe that Leicester are perfectly capable of fighting in this match and taking at least one point from Elland Road. In the previous round, the Foxes beat a direct competitor in the fight for survival - Wolverhampton (2-1) and left the relegation zone. But there's no time to relax, the table is tight. You need to cling to points in every game. Leicester deservedly beat Wolves, scoring 2.61 xG goals, while the opponent scored only 0.97. The series of defeats has finally been broken. I think on this morale boost, Dean Smith's charges are capable of at least not losing to another direct competitor in the fight to stay in the EPL.
In this match, neighbors in the standings will meet on the field, with only one point separating them. A fiery battle is expected, in which the balance could tip in either direction. In this situation, I think it's right to take the X2 bet at a fairly good odd and cover two of the three possible outcomes. Leicester is historically an uncomfortable opponent for Leeds. In their last five head-to-head matches, the Foxes lost to this opponent only once. They haven't lost to them in three matches in a row. In their last meeting on the opponent's field, they drew (1-1), and in the first round of this season, they were stronger (2-0). I think they will take at least one point from Elland Road. My bet is X2. Alternatively, you can take Over 2.5 goals to not worry about the outcome. There should be plenty of goals in this match.
Prediction for the match: Leicester not to lose (X2).
