Lech Poznan take on the visitors Kauno Zalgiris in the first leg of UEFA Conference League qualification quarterfinals. The match will be played on Thursday, July 27th at Enea Stadium (Poznań).
Lech made it all the way to the quarter-finals in the UEFA Europa Conference League last season, which was undoubtedly a significant achievement for Polish club football. Now, they have to start all over again. The Polish domestic league has just begun, and Lech secured a 2-1 victory in their opening match, setting the stage for a similar start in the European competitions. Lech was fortunate with their opponent as they are facing a mid-level Lithuanian team that looks quite grim this season. Bookmakers have a lot of confidence in the Polish side, offering odds of (1.1) for a straightforward home victory, and it's hard to disagree with such an approach to this match. Kauno, indeed, appears to be struggling, and the Polish team is more than capable of securing a two or three-goal advantage before the second leg.
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Last season, Kauno finished in the second position in the Lithuanian championship and earned a spot in the European competition qualifiers. Historically, the team has always faced difficulties in European competitions. In the previous season, they were eliminated in the first round by Slovakian side Ruzomberok. Despite their relatively decent performance in the domestic league last season, Kauno couldn't offer much against their Slovakian opponents. Currently, the situation for the Lithuanian team is even more dire, struggling against a tough opponent in the qualifiers and facing poor results in their domestic league. In their last nine Lithuanian league matches, Kauno managed only one victory, and they are quickly sliding down the league table. It's hard to believe that they can achieve anything significant in this matchup against a formidable Polish opponent.
As mentioned, the odds for a home victory are extremely low, so it's worth considering a handicap bet in favor of the Polish team. Lech is fully capable of securing a victory by a margin of two or three goals. Therefore, I would recommend placing a bet on "Lech -2" handicap. It's doubtful that the visitors will score, while the hosts should be able to find the net a couple of times against their modest opponent.
Prediction for the match: Lech Poznan to win with -2.0 handicap.
