Lecce take on the visitors Cagliari in the round 19 match of Italian Serie A. The match will be played on Saturday, January 6th at Stadio Via del Mare (Lecce).
In the new season of the Italian championship, Lecce entered as one of the potential candidates for relegation. However, it should be acknowledged that for their (fourth-cheapest in the league) squad, the Wolves are performing quite decently and appear closer to mid-table teams than a team that should be fighting for survival. Yes, they are only 6 points clear of the relegation zone, but they are also just nine points away from the top 6 in the championship. In the last two rounds, Lecce lost to Inter (0-2) and Atalanta (0-1), but, firstly, both of these matches were away. In the previous Serie A home game, the Wolves celebrated a victory over Frosinone (2-1). Secondly, before the defeat to Inter, Lecce had gone five rounds without a loss. Besides the victory against Frosinone, they had draws with Verona, Empoli, Bologna, and Milan. And thirdly, in the current season, Lecce have only lost to the giants and teams with a big name (Juventus, Napoli, Roma, and the aforementioned Inter and Atalanta). The exception is Torino, but they are a long-standing solid mid-table team. Lecce have not lost to teams from the bottom half of the table and is unlikely to do so.
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In the last home game, Frosinone visited Lecce, another team that dusted off in Serie B last year. I think Cagliari's fate will be the same as the Canaries three weeks ago. Sardinians are currently in 18th place in the table, in the relegation zone. The team lost more than half of its matches in the current season (10 out of 18), and during this time, it secured only three victories. In terms of away matches, Cagliari are the worst team in the league, gaining only two points in nine away matches with seven losses. Moreover, in the last four such games, the Red and Blues couldn't even secure a draw: losses to Fiorentina (0-3), Lazio (0-1), Napoli (1-2), and Verona (0-2). You might say that most of these opponents are very strong? Okay. But only Lecce from this list lost only to the reigning champions. There were draws with Verona and Fiorentina, and they even managed to defeat AS Roma. That's how it is.
In the current season of the Italian Serie A, Lecce loses to either top teams vying for medals and a place in European competitions or strong mid-table teams. Cagliari are neither of those, despite all due respect. The visitors of this match have one less victory in their pocket, and their number of defeats is three more at the moment. Moreover, the home field factor is not on the side of the Red and Blues. Considering all that has been said above in the previous two paragraphs, I am leaning towards the victory of the hosts, but for insurance in case of a draw, I take their handicap (0).
Prediction for the match: Lecce to win with 0.0 handicap.